L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 75.06%1.33cote équitable
EV +5.08%
Avantage +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
Croissance +0.645%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jesper De Jong (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +50.16%
Avantage +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
Croissance +5.01%
avec la cote maximale 6.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 17:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| BetUS | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:53 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:52 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |