Школа коэффициентов

Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong

Начало: 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Хозяева)

Прогноз 75.06%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.08%
Преимущество +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
Рост +0.645%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jesper De Jong (Гости)

Прогноз 24.94%4.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +50.16%
Преимущество +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
Рост +5.01%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01%2.8%2026-04-22 17:45
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%2.9%2026-04-22 17:50
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%4.3%2026-04-22 17:38
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%5.1%2026-04-22 17:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07%6.7%2026-04-22 17:49
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%5.3%2026-04-22 17:10
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:10
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:46
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81%5.1%2026-04-22 17:09
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%5.5%2026-04-22 17:10
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%7.7%2026-04-22 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:10
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:09
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911%8.0%2026-04-22 17:09
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%7.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%9.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111%4.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:53
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:52
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54