Språk:Svenska
Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Rafael Jodar (Hemma)
Prognos 75.06%1.33rättvist odds
EV +5.08%
Fördel +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
Tillväxt +0.645%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Borta)
Prognos 24.94%4.01rättvist odds
EV +50.16%
Fördel +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
Tillväxt +5.01%
med antagandet om högsta odds 6.02
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 75.06%; Jesper De Jong (Borta): 24.94%. För Jesper De Jong (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.01. 23 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.02, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +50.16%.
Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 17:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 17:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:52 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (6)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |