Die Wettquotenschule

Rafael Jodar v Jesper De Jong

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 75.06%1.33faire Quote
EV +5.08%
Vorteil +3.63%
Kelly +12.69%
Wachstum +0.645%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.83%74.94%75.00%83.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.131.241.251.4088.50%80.37%80.00%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jesper De Jong (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.94%4.01faire Quote
EV +50.16%
Vorteil +8.33%
Kelly +9.99%
Wachstum +5.01%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.16%25.06%25.00%33.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.704.083.836.0237.04%24.50%26.14%16.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV +50.16%E +8.33%K +9.99%G +5.01%2.8%2026-04-22 17:45
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%2.9%2026-04-22 17:50
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%4.3%2026-04-22 17:38
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +43.43%E +7.55%K +9.14%G +3.97%5.1%2026-04-22 17:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -15.19%E -13.44%K -116.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +37.19%E +6.76%K +8.27%G +3.07%6.7%2026-04-22 17:49
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -12.94%E -11.15%K -80.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%5.3%2026-04-22 17:10
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:10
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:46
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +30.96%E +5.90%K +7.28%G +2.26%6.0%2026-04-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +28.46%E +5.53%K +6.86%G +1.95%4.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +27.22%E +5.34%K +6.64%G +1.81%5.1%2026-04-22 17:09
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%5.5%2026-04-22 17:10
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -14.44%E -12.66%K -103.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +24.72%E +4.94%K +6.18%G +1.53%7.7%2026-04-22 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:10
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +19.73%E +4.11%K +5.19%G +1.02%7.8%2026-04-22 17:09
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +18.49%E +3.89%K +4.93%G +0.911%8.0%2026-04-22 17:09
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%7.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -13.69%E -11.90%K -91.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV +12.25%E +2.72%K +3.50%G +0.429%9.2%2026-04-22 17:46
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +6.01%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.111%4.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -11.43%E -9.69%K -63.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +4.77%E +1.13%K +1.49%G +0.071%8.6%2026-04-22 17:54
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.93%E -5.59%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.27%E +0.554%K +0.733%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.93%E -8.28%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.68%E -6.25%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.47%E -0.372%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.18%E -7.59%K -43.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.72%E -0.697%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 17:53
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:52
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.18%E -4.94%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -3.07%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -0.927%E -0.702%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:54
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -16.44%E -4.91%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.43%E -1.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -3.18%E -2.46%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 17:55
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -5.43%E -4.31%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -20.18%E -6.31%K -9.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +3.58%E +2.59%K +9.41%G +0.337%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -25.17%E -8.39%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV +2.83%E +2.06%K +7.64%G +0.216%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -26.41%E -8.95%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +5.08%E +3.63%K +12.69%G +0.645%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -27.66%E -9.54%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV +2.08%E +1.53%K +5.77%G +0.120%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -31.40%E -11.42%K -17.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV +0.575%E +0.429%K +1.69%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -32.65%E -12.09%K -19.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-22 17:55
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-22 17:54
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%5.6%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-04-22 17:54