The School of Odds

Mariano Navone v Alexander Zverev

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Mariano Navone (Hemma)

Prognos 22.55%4.43rättvist odds
EV +1.70%
Fördel +0.377%
Kelly +0.484%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.77%22.61%22.58%24.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.704.164.204.5127.03%24.04%23.81%22.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Borta)

Prognos 77.45%1.29rättvist odds
EV -3.19%
Fördel -2.55%
Kelly -12.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.15%77.39%77.42%79.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.04%81.97%80.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 18:14
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 19:59
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
GTbets4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -1.91%E -0.439%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:30
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Pinnacle4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:30
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:29
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:59
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.16%E -8.76%K -63.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:58
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.42%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:54
DraftKings4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -7.10%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:30
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:55
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:29
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.93%E -9.51%K -72.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%8.4%2026-04-24 03:15