مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mariano Navone v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mariano Navone (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.55%4.43السعر العادل
EV +1.70%
الأفضلية +0.377%
Kelly +0.484%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.77%22.61%22.58%24.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.164.204.5127.03%24.04%23.81%22.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.45%1.29السعر العادل
EV -3.19%
الأفضلية -2.55%
Kelly -12.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.15%77.39%77.42%79.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.04%81.97%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 18:14
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 19:59
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
GTbets4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -1.91%E -0.439%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:30
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Pinnacle4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:30
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:29
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:59
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.16%E -8.76%K -63.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:58
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.42%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:54
DraftKings4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -7.10%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:30
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:55
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:29
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.93%E -9.51%K -72.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%8.4%2026-04-24 03:15