La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mariano Navone v Alexander Zverev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mariano Navone (Casa)
Previsione 22.55%4.43quota equa
EV +1.70%
Vantaggio +0.377%
Kelly +0.484%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.77%22.61%22.58%24.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.164.204.5127.03%24.04%23.81%22.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.45%1.29quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -2.55%
Kelly -12.75%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.15%77.39%77.42%79.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.04%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| GTbets | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -1.91%E -0.439%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.16%E -8.76%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.42%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -7.10%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.93%E -9.51%K -72.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |