Szkoła Kursów

Mariano Navone v Alexander Zverev

Początek: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 22.55%4.43kurs godziwy
EV +1.70%
Przewaga +0.377%
Kelly +0.484%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.77%22.61%22.58%24.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.164.204.5127.03%24.04%23.81%22.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Zverev (Goście)

Prognoza 77.45%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -3.19%
Przewaga -2.55%
Kelly -12.75%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.15%77.39%77.42%79.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.04%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 18:14
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 19:59
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
GTbets4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -1.91%E -0.439%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:30
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:55
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:54
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Pinnacle4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:39
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:30
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:29
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:59
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:49
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.16%E -8.76%K -63.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 15:58
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.42%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:54
DraftKings4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -7.10%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:30
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:55
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:29
Unibet (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:39
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:29
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.93%E -9.51%K -72.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:15
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:15
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 18:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%2.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%4.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%8.4%2026-04-24 03:15