L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mariano Navone v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 22.55%4.43cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.377%
Kelly +0.484%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.61%22.58%24.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.164.204.5127.03%24.04%23.81%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.45%1.29cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -12.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.15%77.39%77.42%79.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.221.221.2586.96%82.04%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +1.70%E +0.377%K +0.484%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.47%E +0.327%K +0.421%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| GTbets | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -1.91%E -0.439%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.36%E -0.545%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.04%E -0.706%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.16%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -4.62%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.74%E -3.85%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.16%E -8.76%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.42%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -7.10%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.29%E -5.19%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.93%E -9.51%K -72.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.19%E -2.55%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.96%E -3.19%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.51%E -4.52%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -16.57%E -4.48%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.61%E -7.30%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |