Language:English
Jaume Munar v Casper Ruud
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaume Munar (Local)
Prediction 33.16%3.02fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%33.12%33.02%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.903.0538.46%35.06%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visit)
Prediction 66.84%1.50fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%66.88%66.98%69.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4574.63%70.95%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 33.16%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 66.84%. For Jaume Munar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.44%E -7.79%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.18%E -0.737%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.50%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |