مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaume Munar v Casper Ruud

البداية: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaume Munar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.16%3.02السعر العادل
EV +1.14%
الأفضلية +0.374%
Kelly +0.556%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.52%33.12%33.02%35.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.852.903.0538.46%35.06%34.48%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casper Ruud (الضيف)

التنبؤ 66.84%1.50السعر العادل
EV -3.08%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -6.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.79%66.88%66.98%69.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.411.411.4574.63%70.95%70.92%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:14
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.44%E -7.79%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:54
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.18%E -0.737%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:59
DraftKings2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.50%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:29
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:23
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:23
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-04-24 03:40