StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaume Munar v Casper Ruud

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaume Munar (Hemma)

Prognos 33.16%3.02rättvist odds
EV +1.14%
Fördel +0.374%
Kelly +0.556%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.52%33.12%33.02%35.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.852.903.0538.46%35.06%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Casper Ruud (Borta)

Prognos 66.84%1.50rättvist odds
EV -3.08%
Fördel -2.13%
Kelly -6.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.79%66.88%66.98%69.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.411.411.4574.63%70.95%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jaume Munar (Hemma): 33.16%; Casper Ruud (Borta): 66.84%. För Jaume Munar (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.02. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.05, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.14%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:14
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.44%E -7.79%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:54
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.18%E -0.737%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.50%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:29
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:23
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:30
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:23
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-04-24 03:40