La escuela de los momios

Jaume Munar v Casper Ruud

Inicio: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jaume Munar (Local)

Predicción 33.16%3.02momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.374%
Kelly +0.556%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.52%33.12%33.02%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.852.903.0538.46%35.06%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Predicción 66.84%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -6.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.79%66.88%66.98%69.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4574.63%70.95%70.92%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:14
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.44%E -7.79%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:54
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.18%E -0.737%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:59
DraftKings2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.50%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:29
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:23
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:23
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-04-24 03:40