La scuola delle quote

Jaume Munar v Casper Ruud

Inizio: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaume Munar (Casa)

Previsione 33.16%3.02quota equa
EV +1.14%
Vantaggio +0.374%
Kelly +0.556%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.52%33.12%33.02%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.852.903.0538.46%35.06%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casper Ruud (Trasferta)

Previsione 66.84%1.50quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -2.13%
Kelly -6.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.79%66.88%66.98%69.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.411.411.4574.63%70.95%70.92%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 18:14
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.14%E +0.374%K +0.556%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.44%E -7.79%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-23 20:54
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.517%E -0.172%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 19:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.18%E -0.737%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:19
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 20:59
DraftKings2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -3.50%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:54
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:30
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:35
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.10%EV -6.15%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:15
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:29
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:30
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:23
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:30
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:23
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.12%E -4.57%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -13.78%E -5.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -9.77%E -7.23%K -27.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Novig3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%6.2%2026-04-24 03:40