Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Alex Michelsen

Inizio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Casa)

Previsione 54.41%1.84quota equa
EV +3.39%
Vantaggio +1.78%
Kelly +3.76%
Crescita +0.128%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%54.19%54.47%57.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.781.771.9061.73%56.31%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.59%2.19quota equa
EV -0.624%
Vantaggio -0.286%
Kelly -0.529%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.97%45.81%45.53%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.032.002.1852.63%49.26%50.00%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jan-Lennard Struff (Casa): 54.41%; Alex Michelsen (Trasferta): 45.59%. Per Jan-Lennard Struff (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.84. 14 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 1.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.39%.

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +3.39%E +1.78%K +3.76%G +0.128%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:14
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.51%E -0.834%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:04
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.09%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:03
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:34
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.624%E -0.286%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:41
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -8.04%E -4.76%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.13%E -5.47%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.85%E -7.31%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35