La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alex Michelsen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 54.41%1.84momio equitativo
EV +3.39%
Ventaja +1.78%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +0.128%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%54.19%54.47%57.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.781.771.9061.73%56.31%56.50%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Predicción 45.59%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.624%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.529%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%45.81%45.53%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.032.002.1852.63%49.26%50.00%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +3.39%E +1.78%K +3.76%G +0.128% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.51%E -0.834%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.09%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.624%E -0.286%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:41 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -8.04%E -4.76%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.13%E -5.47%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.85%E -7.31%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |