L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prévision 54.41%1.84cote équitable
EV +3.39%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.128%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%54.19%54.47%57.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.781.771.9061.73%56.31%56.50%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.59%2.19cote équitable
EV -0.624%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.529%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%45.81%45.53%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.032.002.1852.63%49.26%50.00%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +3.39%E +1.78%K +3.76%G +0.128% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.51%E -0.834%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.09%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.624%E -0.286%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:41 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -8.04%E -4.76%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.13%E -5.47%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.85%E -7.31%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |