مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jan-Lennard Struff v Alex Michelsen

البداية: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.41%1.84السعر العادل
EV +3.39%
الأفضلية +1.78%
Kelly +3.76%
النمو +0.128%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%54.19%54.47%57.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.781.771.9061.73%56.31%56.50%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex Michelsen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.59%2.19السعر العادل
EV -0.624%
الأفضلية -0.286%
Kelly -0.529%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.97%45.81%45.53%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.032.002.1852.63%49.26%50.00%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +3.39%E +1.78%K +3.76%G +0.128%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:14
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:19
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.51%E -0.834%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.09%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:03
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:35
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:34
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.624%E -0.286%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:41
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:45
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -8.04%E -4.76%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.13%E -5.47%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.85%E -7.31%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 23:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35