Die Wettquotenschule

Jan-Lennard Struff v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Heim)

Prognose 54.41%1.84faire Quote
EV +3.39%
Vorteil +1.78%
Kelly +3.76%
Wachstum +0.128%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%54.19%54.47%57.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.781.771.9061.73%56.31%56.50%52.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 45.59%2.19faire Quote
EV -0.624%
Vorteil -0.286%
Kelly -0.529%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.97%45.81%45.53%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.902.032.002.1852.63%49.26%50.00%45.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +3.39%E +1.78%K +3.76%G +0.128%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:14
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +0.667%E +0.361%K +0.785%G +0.005%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -11.56%E -5.96%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:19
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.421%E -0.230%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -0.965%E -0.530%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:20
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.51%E -0.834%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.73%E -2.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.05%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.60%E -1.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.09%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:03
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:35
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.23%E -2.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.77%E -2.73%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:54
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:34
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.32%E -3.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.86%E -3.39%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:50
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.90%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.41%E -3.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.95%E -4.06%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:34
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.624%E -0.286%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:41
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.50%E -4.41%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:45
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -8.04%E -4.76%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -1.08%E -0.498%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.13%E -5.47%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.85%E -7.31%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.99%E -0.926%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35