Школа коэффициентов

Daniel Altmaier v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Начало: 2026-04-23 15:35 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.71%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +24.10%
Преимущество +10.04%
Kelly +17.22%
Рост +4.15%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.20%51.55%52.69%60.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.891.832.4065.36%53.02%54.64%41.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Гости)

Прогноз 48.29%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV +14.93%
Преимущество +6.27%
Kelly +10.82%
Рост +1.62%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.13%48.45%47.31%59.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.911.952.3863.29%52.22%51.28%42.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +24.10%E +10.04%K +17.22%G +4.15%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:14
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +21.52%E +9.16%K +15.94%G +3.43%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -23.70%E -15.00%K -40.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:13
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +19.45%E +8.42%K +14.85%G +2.89%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -17.42%E -10.19%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -18.39%E -10.88%K -26.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 13:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +14.79%E +6.66%K +12.13%G +1.79%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 18:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -20.32%E -12.31%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV +13.24%E +6.05%K +11.13%G +1.47%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:13
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +11.17%E +5.20%K +9.72%G +1.09%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.42%E +1.71%K +3.42%G +0.117%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:19
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -12.59%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV +0.315%E +0.163%K +0.335%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -0.719%E -0.374%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:19
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.923%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:19
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -2.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -16.94%E -9.85%K -23.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:20
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.03%E -5.76%K -13.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV +2.86%E +1.34%K +2.53%G +0.072%5.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +5.27%E +2.42%K +4.47%G +0.236%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +4.79%E +2.21%K +4.10%G +0.196%6.7%2026-04-23 15:20
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -15.71%E -9.64%K -24.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV +3.34%E +1.56%K +2.93%G +0.098%8.1%2026-04-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -18.30%E -11.58%K -31.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%8.7%2026-04-23 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -20.89%E -13.65%K -39.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +14.93%E +6.27%K +10.82%G +1.62%7.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-04-23 15:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%5.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%6.6%2026-04-23 15:20