La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniel Altmaier v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniel Altmaier (Casa)
Previsione 51.71%1.93quota equa
EV +24.10%
Vantaggio +10.04%
Kelly +17.22%
Crescita +4.15%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.20%51.55%52.69%60.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.891.832.4065.36%53.02%54.64%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.29%2.07quota equa
EV +14.93%
Vantaggio +6.27%
Kelly +10.82%
Crescita +1.62%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.13%48.45%47.31%59.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.911.952.3863.29%52.22%51.28%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +24.10%E +10.04%K +17.22%G +4.15% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +21.52%E +9.16%K +15.94%G +3.43% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -23.70%E -15.00%K -40.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +19.45%E +8.42%K +14.85%G +2.89% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -17.42%E -10.19%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -18.39%E -10.88%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +14.79%E +6.66%K +12.13%G +1.79% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 18:15 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -20.32%E -12.31%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV +13.24%E +6.05%K +11.13%G +1.47% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +11.17%E +5.20%K +9.72%G +1.09% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.42%E +1.71%K +3.42%G +0.117% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -12.59%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV +0.315%E +0.163%K +0.335%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -0.719%E -0.374%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.923%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -2.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -16.94%E -9.85%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.03%E -5.76%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV +2.86%E +1.34%K +2.53%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +5.27%E +2.42%K +4.47%G +0.236% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +4.79%E +2.21%K +4.10%G +0.196% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -15.71%E -9.64%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV +3.34%E +1.56%K +2.93%G +0.098% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -18.30%E -11.58%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -20.89%E -13.65%K -39.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +14.93%E +6.27%K +10.82%G +1.62% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |