La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniel Altmaier v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Predicción 51.71%1.93momio equitativo
EV +24.10%
Ventaja +10.04%
Kelly +17.22%
Crecimiento +4.15%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%51.55%52.69%60.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.891.832.4065.36%53.02%54.64%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 48.29%2.07momio equitativo
EV +14.93%
Ventaja +6.27%
Kelly +10.82%
Crecimiento +1.62%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%48.45%47.31%59.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.911.952.3863.29%52.22%51.28%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +24.10%E +10.04%K +17.22%G +4.15% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +21.52%E +9.16%K +15.94%G +3.43% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -23.70%E -15.00%K -40.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +19.45%E +8.42%K +14.85%G +2.89% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -17.42%E -10.19%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -18.39%E -10.88%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +14.79%E +6.66%K +12.13%G +1.79% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 18:15 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -20.32%E -12.31%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV +13.24%E +6.05%K +11.13%G +1.47% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +11.17%E +5.20%K +9.72%G +1.09% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.42%E +1.71%K +3.42%G +0.117% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -12.59%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV +0.315%E +0.163%K +0.335%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -0.719%E -0.374%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.923%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -2.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -16.94%E -9.85%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.03%E -5.76%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV +2.86%E +1.34%K +2.53%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +5.27%E +2.42%K +4.47%G +0.236% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +4.79%E +2.21%K +4.10%G +0.196% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -15.71%E -9.64%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV +3.34%E +1.56%K +2.93%G +0.098% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -18.30%E -11.58%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -20.89%E -13.65%K -39.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +14.93%E +6.27%K +10.82%G +1.62% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |