مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

البداية: 2026-04-23 15:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.71%1.93السعر العادل
EV +24.10%
الأفضلية +10.04%
Kelly +17.22%
النمو +4.15%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.20%51.55%52.69%60.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.891.832.4065.36%53.02%54.64%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.29%2.07السعر العادل
EV +14.93%
الأفضلية +6.27%
Kelly +10.82%
النمو +1.62%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.13%48.45%47.31%59.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.911.952.3863.29%52.22%51.28%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +24.10%E +10.04%K +17.22%G +4.15%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 15:14
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +21.52%E +9.16%K +15.94%G +3.43%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -23.70%E -15.00%K -40.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:13
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +19.45%E +8.42%K +14.85%G +2.89%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -17.42%E -10.19%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -18.39%E -10.88%K -26.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 13:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +14.79%E +6.66%K +12.13%G +1.79%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 18:15
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -20.32%E -12.31%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV +13.24%E +6.05%K +11.13%G +1.47%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 15:13
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +11.17%E +5.20%K +9.72%G +1.09%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.42%E +1.71%K +3.42%G +0.117%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:19
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -12.59%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV +0.315%E +0.163%K +0.335%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -0.719%E -0.374%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:19
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.923%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:19
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -2.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -16.94%E -9.85%K -23.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:20
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.03%E -5.76%K -13.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV +2.86%E +1.34%K +2.53%G +0.072%5.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%5.3%2026-04-23 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018%7.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%6.1%2026-04-23 15:20
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +5.27%E +2.42%K +4.47%G +0.236%6.5%2026-04-23 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +4.79%E +2.21%K +4.10%G +0.196%6.7%2026-04-23 15:20
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -15.71%E -9.64%K -24.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV +3.34%E +1.56%K +2.93%G +0.098%8.1%2026-04-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -18.30%E -11.58%K -31.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325%8.7%2026-04-23 15:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -20.89%E -13.65%K -39.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +14.93%E +6.27%K +10.82%G +1.62%7.4%2026-04-23 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-04-23 15:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%5.5%2026-04-23 15:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%6.6%2026-04-23 15:20