L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Daniel Altmaier v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prévision 51.71%1.93cote équitable
EV +24.10%
Avantage +10.04%
Kelly +17.22%
Croissance +4.15%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%51.55%52.69%60.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.891.832.4065.36%53.02%54.64%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.29%2.07cote équitable
EV +14.93%
Avantage +6.27%
Kelly +10.82%
Croissance +1.62%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.13%48.45%47.31%59.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.911.952.3863.29%52.22%51.28%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +24.10%E +10.04%K +17.22%G +4.15% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +21.52%E +9.16%K +15.94%G +3.43% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -23.70%E -15.00%K -40.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +19.45%E +8.42%K +14.85%G +2.89% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -17.42%E -10.19%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +16.35%E +7.26%K +13.08%G +2.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -18.39%E -10.88%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +14.79%E +6.66%K +12.13%G +1.79% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 18:15 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -19.35%E -11.59%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -20.32%E -12.31%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +13.76%E +6.25%K +11.47%G +1.58% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV +13.24%E +6.05%K +11.13%G +1.47% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -19.84%E -11.95%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 15:13 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +11.17%E +5.20%K +9.72%G +1.09% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -21.77%E -13.44%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.42%E +1.71%K +3.42%G +0.117% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV +1.87%E +0.947%K +1.92%G +0.036% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -12.59%E -6.96%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.832%E +0.427%K +0.876%G +0.007% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV +0.315%E +0.163%K +0.335%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -13.08%E -7.26%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -0.719%E -0.374%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.923%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -3.82%E -2.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -16.94%E -9.85%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.37%E -2.94%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.41%E -3.54%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.85%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.48%E -4.79%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.51%E -5.43%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.03%E -5.76%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.70%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.06%E -6.43%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -11.58%E -6.77%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV +2.86%E +1.34%K +2.53%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.65%E -8.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.672%K +1.28%G +0.018% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +5.27%E +2.42%K +4.47%G +0.236% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -14.68%E -8.90%K -22.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV +4.79%E +2.21%K +4.10%G +0.196% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -15.71%E -9.64%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV +3.34%E +1.56%K +2.93%G +0.098% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -18.30%E -11.58%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV +6.24%E +2.84%K +5.20%G +0.325% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -20.89%E -13.65%K -39.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +14.93%E +6.27%K +10.82%G +1.62% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |