The School of Odds

Damir Dzumhur v Mattia Bellucci

Matchstart: 2026-04-22 11:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Hemma)

Prognos 46.65%2.14rättvist odds
EV +1.71%
Fördel +0.783%
Kelly +1.45%
Tillväxt +0.025%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.53%46.47%46.95%47.92%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.912.032.022.1852.36%49.29%49.50%45.87%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Borta)

Prognos 53.35%1.87rättvist odds
EV -1.84%
Fördel -1.00%
Kelly -2.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.84

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.08%53.53%53.05%55.47%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.45%G +0.025%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 10:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 10:49
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -0.625%E -0.294%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -5.05%E -2.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 10:50
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 10:50
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 10:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 10:50
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.10%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 11:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 10:48
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 10:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:49
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.13%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:59
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%3.4%2026-04-22 11:00