A Escola das Odds

Damir Dzumhur v Mattia Bellucci

Início: 2026-04-22 11:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Local)

Previsão 46.65%2.14odd justa
EV +1.71%
Vantagem +0.783%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.53%46.47%46.95%47.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.022.1852.36%49.29%49.50%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)

Previsão 53.35%1.87odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.08%53.53%53.05%55.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.45%G +0.025%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 10:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 10:49
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -0.625%E -0.294%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -5.05%E -2.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 10:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 10:50
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 10:50
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 10:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 10:50
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.10%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 11:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 10:48
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 10:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:49
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 10:49
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.13%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:50
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:59
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-22 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%3.4%2026-04-22 11:00