L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Damir Dzumhur v Mattia Bellucci
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prévision 46.65%2.14cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.783%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.53%46.47%46.95%47.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.022.1852.36%49.29%49.50%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mattia Bellucci (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.35%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.08%53.53%53.05%55.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.45%G +0.025% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -0.625%E -0.294%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -5.05%E -2.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.10%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.13%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 10:59 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |