La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Damir Dzumhur v Mattia Bellucci
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Damir Dzumhur (Casa)
Previsione 46.65%2.14quota equa
EV +1.71%
Vantaggio +0.783%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.53%46.47%46.95%47.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.032.022.1852.36%49.29%49.50%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.35%1.87quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.08%53.53%53.05%55.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.35%56.18%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.45%G +0.025% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -0.625%E -0.294%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -5.05%E -2.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.10%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.13%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 10:59 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |