La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Damir Dzumhur v Mattia Bellucci
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Predicción 46.65%2.14momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.783%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.53%46.47%46.95%47.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.022.1852.36%49.29%49.50%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Predicción 53.35%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.08%53.53%53.05%55.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.781.8458.82%56.35%56.18%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.45%G +0.025% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +0.774%E +0.358%K +0.667%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -0.625%E -0.294%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -5.05%E -2.83%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.03%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.10%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.25%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.69%E -3.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.78%E -5.13%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 10:59 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |