The School of Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Pablo Carreno Busta

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Hemma)

Prognos 64.17%1.56rättvist odds
EV -3.11%
Fördel -2.06%
Kelly -6.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.17%64.03%64.20%65.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.77%67.57%66.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta)

Prognos 35.83%2.79rättvist odds
EV -1.46%
Fördel -0.531%
Kelly -0.835%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.52%35.97%35.80%38.83%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.302.612.632.7543.48%38.27%38.02%36.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.664%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:54
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 00:39
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 21:29
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:29
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:29
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:14
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:54
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:15
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 21:29
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:30
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:49
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:50
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:15
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:29
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:30
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.52%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -10.78%E -4.33%K -7.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:58
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-04-24 02:50
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00%83.5%2026-04-23 13:50