Школа коэффициентов

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Pablo Carreno Busta

Начало: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Хозяева)

Прогноз 64.17%1.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.11%
Преимущество -2.06%
Kelly -6.09%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.17%64.03%64.20%65.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.77%67.57%66.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Гости)

Прогноз 35.83%2.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.46%
Преимущество -0.531%
Kelly -0.835%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.52%35.97%35.80%38.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.612.632.7543.48%38.27%38.02%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.664%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:54
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 00:39
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 21:29
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:29
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:29
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:09
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:50
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:14
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:54
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:15
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:05
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 21:29
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:30
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:49
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 20:50
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:15
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:54
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:29
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:30
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.52%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -10.78%E -4.33%K -7.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:58
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-04-24 02:50
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00%83.5%2026-04-23 13:50