La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Pablo Carreno Busta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 64.17%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -6.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.17%64.03%64.20%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.77%67.57%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)
Predicción 35.83%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.531%
Kelly -0.835%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%35.97%35.80%38.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.612.632.7543.48%38.27%38.02%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.664%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.52%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -10.78%E -4.33%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00% | 83.5% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |