La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Pablo Carreno Busta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Casa)
Previsione 64.17%1.56quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -2.06%
Kelly -6.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.17%64.03%64.20%65.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.77%67.57%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.83%2.79quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.531%
Kelly -0.835%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%35.97%35.80%38.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.612.632.7543.48%38.27%38.02%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.82%E -0.664%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.76%E -2.19%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.54%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.97%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:15 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.52%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.48%EV -10.78%E -4.33%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 15:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.00% | 83.5% | 2026-04-23 13:50 |