The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

2026-10-04 08:10 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -10.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.83%68.62%68.56%70.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.19%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit)

Prediction 31.44%3.18fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.764%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.74%31.38%31.44%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.013.033.2637.04%33.25%33.00%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 68.56%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit): 31.44%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.26, producing a positive expected value of +2.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +2.49%E +0.764%K +1.10%G +0.027%3.1%2026-10-03 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +1.23%E +0.383%K +0.555%G +0.007%4.0%2026-10-03 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +1.23%E +0.383%K +0.555%G +0.007%4.0%2026-10-03 13:01
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +0.289%E +0.091%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:01
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.819%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.48%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.11%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 12:41
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -5.06%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.68%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 12:11
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:10
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.50%E -7.20%K -29.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.39%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.83%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 12:11
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.46%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:28
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.40%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.40%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.54%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.54%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.13%E -6.07%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.12%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.00%9.0%2026-10-03 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.99%9.8%2026-10-03 13:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.99%9.8%2026-10-03 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.99%9.8%2026-10-03 13:05