Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 71.23%1.40fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -8.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.34%71.15%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.07%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit)
Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +0.997%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.66%28.85%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.6033.33%30.77%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 71.23%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit): 28.77%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.69%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +3.59%E +0.997%K +1.38%G +0.050% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.69%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +3.59%E +0.997%K +1.38%G +0.050% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.712%E +0.203%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.11%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV +0.424%E +0.121%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -0.152%E -0.044%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 05:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 04:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.54%E -7.51%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.17%E -0.637%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 09:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 09:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.62%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.62%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 09:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 08:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 09:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 07:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 03:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.17%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 06:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.12%E -6.29%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.24%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.24%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 09:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 06:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 06:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 03:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.68%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 03:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 09:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 09:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 09:30 |