L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

2026-10-04 08:10 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 68.68%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -9.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.83%68.68%68.62%70.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.20%73.53%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.32%3.19cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.644%
Kelly +0.928%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.74%31.32%31.38%33.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.013.043.2637.04%33.21%32.89%30.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 68.68% ; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur) : 31.32%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.26, pour une espérance positive de +2.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +2.10%E +0.644%K +0.928%G +0.019%3.1%2026-10-03 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:01
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 12:41
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -4.79%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -5.42%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 12:11
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:10
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.34%E -7.08%K -29.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 12:11
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:28
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.97%E -5.95%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40