Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

2026-10-04 08:10 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.68%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -3.85%
Przewaga -2.75%
Kelly -9.61%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.83%68.68%68.62%70.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.20%73.53%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Goście)

Prognoza 31.32%3.19kurs godziwy
EV +2.10%
Przewaga +0.644%
Kelly +0.928%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.74%31.32%31.38%33.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.703.013.043.2637.04%33.21%32.89%30.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze): 68.68%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Goście): 31.32%. Dla wyniku Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.19. 1 bukmacher oferuje kurs powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.26, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +2.10%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +2.10%E +0.644%K +0.928%G +0.019%3.1%2026-10-03 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:01
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 12:41
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -4.79%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -5.42%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 12:11
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:10
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.34%E -7.08%K -29.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 12:11
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:28
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.97%E -5.95%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 12:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40