StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

2026-10-04 08:10 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 68.68%1.46rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -9.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.83%68.68%68.62%70.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.361.4075.76%73.20%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta)

Prognos 31.32%3.19rättvist odds
EV +2.10%
Fördel +0.644%
Kelly +0.928%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.74%31.32%31.38%33.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.013.043.2637.04%33.21%32.89%30.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 68.68%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta): 31.32%. För Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.19. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.26, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +2.10%E +0.644%K +0.928%G +0.019%3.1%2026-10-03 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-03 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.094%E -0.030%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:01
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 12:41
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -4.79%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -5.42%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 13:09
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 12:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 12:11
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:10
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.53%E -3.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 12:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.34%E -7.08%K -29.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.22%E -3.78%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 12:11
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.85%K -18.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 12:28
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.28%E -5.39%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 12:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -7.97%E -5.95%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 12:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%9.1%2026-10-03 13:40