The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Carlos Alcaraz v Jaume Munar

2026-10-05 07:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carlos Alcaraz (Local)

Prediction 86.77%1.15fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -33.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.46%86.68%86.56%88.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1195.24%91.82%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaume Munar (Visit)

Prediction 13.23%7.56fair odd
EV +11.14%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.168%

assuming max odds 8.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.39%13.32%13.44%16.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.407.027.008.4018.52%14.24%14.29%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 86.77%; Jaume Munar (Visit): 13.23%. For Jaume Munar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.56. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.40, producing a positive expected value of +11.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +11.14%E +1.33%K +1.51%G +0.168%4.5%2026-10-04 09:54
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.15%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.85%EV +7.30%E +0.901%K +1.03%G +0.075%4.1%2026-10-04 11:01
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +3.20%E +0.411%K +0.471%G +0.015%4.6%2026-10-04 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.89%E -8.47%K -177.85%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.20%E +0.411%K +0.471%G +0.015%8.1%2026-10-04 09:05
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.54%E +0.328%K +0.376%G +0.010%4.6%2026-10-04 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.69%E -3.32%K -33.51%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.61%E +0.210%K +0.242%G +0.004%3.1%2026-10-04 11:10
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 10:31
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:10
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.767%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:10
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -3.68%E -0.505%K -0.586%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.07%E -0.562%K -0.652%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 09:45
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.06%E -0.853%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.06%E -0.853%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 13:07
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:08
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:06
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:06
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:06
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:00
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.16%E -6.69%K -102.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.16%E -6.69%K -102.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.16%E -6.69%K -102.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.38%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 10:00
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.42%E -4.97%K -60.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.69%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.12%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -11.35%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 11:10
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.32%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.32%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.32%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.29%E -5.82%K -78.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.32%E -2.39%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.50%EV -8.02%E -7.57%K -133.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -17.31%E -2.77%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 13:09
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.61%E -3.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:08
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.55%E -4.14%K -45.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.61%E -3.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -7.16%E -6.69%K -102.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -23.26%E -4.01%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.16%E -6.69%K -102.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -28.55%E -5.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 13:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 13:01
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 12:45