默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Carlos Alcaraz v Jaume Munar

2026-10-05 07:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Carlos Alcaraz (主队)

预测 86.78%1.15公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -3.31%
Kelly -33.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
83.46%86.73%86.53%88.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.091.091.1195.24%91.90%91.74%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jaume Munar (客队)

预测 13.22%7.56公平赔率
EV +11.05%
优势 +1.32%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.165%

假设最高赔率为 8.40

博彩公司预测分布
11.39%13.27%13.47%16.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.407.027.008.4018.52%14.24%14.29%11.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Carlos Alcaraz (主队):86.78%;Jaume Munar (客队):13.22%。 对于“Jaume Munar (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.56。 有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为8.40,由此产生+11.05%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +11.05%E +1.32%K +1.49%G +0.165%4.5%2026-10-04 09:54
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.15%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.85%EV +7.22%E +0.890%K +1.02%G +0.073%4.1%2026-10-04 11:01
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%4.6%2026-10-04 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.88%E -8.46%K -177.63%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%8.1%2026-10-04 09:05
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%4.6%2026-10-04 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.67%E -3.31%K -33.41%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.53%E +0.200%K +0.230%G +0.004%3.1%2026-10-04 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 10:31
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:09
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -3.75%E -0.516%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 09:45
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.13%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 13:09
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:00
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:49
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.42%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 14:05
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-04 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:08
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -23.32%E -4.02%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -28.61%E -5.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 09:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 12:45