StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Carlos Alcaraz v Jaume Munar

2026-10-05 07:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 86.78%1.15rättvist odds
EV -3.67%
Fördel -3.31%
Kelly -33.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.46%86.73%86.53%88.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.051.091.091.1195.24%91.90%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jaume Munar (Borta)

Prognos 13.22%7.56rättvist odds
EV +11.05%
Fördel +1.32%
Kelly +1.49%
Tillväxt +0.165%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.39%13.27%13.47%16.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.407.027.008.4018.52%14.24%14.29%11.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma): 86.78%; Jaume Munar (Borta): 13.22%. För Jaume Munar (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.56. 11 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 8.40, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +11.05%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +11.05%E +1.32%K +1.49%G +0.165%4.5%2026-10-04 09:54
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.15%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.85%EV +7.22%E +0.890%K +1.02%G +0.073%4.1%2026-10-04 11:01
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%4.6%2026-10-04 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.88%E -8.46%K -177.63%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%8.1%2026-10-04 09:05
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%4.6%2026-10-04 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.67%E -3.31%K -33.41%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.53%E +0.200%K +0.230%G +0.004%3.1%2026-10-04 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 10:31
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:09
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -3.75%E -0.516%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 09:45
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.13%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 13:09
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:00
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:49
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.42%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 14:05
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-04 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:08
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -23.32%E -4.02%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -28.61%E -5.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 12:45