StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Carlos Alcaraz v Jaume Munar

2026-10-05 07:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

Wedstrijduitslag

55 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Carlos Alcaraz (Thuis)

Prognose 86.78%1.15margevrije odds
EV -3.67%
Voordeel -3.31%
Kelly -33.41%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.11

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
83.46%86.73%86.53%88.61%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.051.091.091.1195.24%91.90%91.74%90.09%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Jaume Munar (Uit)

Prognose 13.22%7.56margevrije odds
EV +11.05%
Voordeel +1.32%
Kelly +1.49%
Groei +0.165%

bij maximale odds 8.40

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
11.39%13.27%13.47%16.54%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
5.407.027.008.4018.52%14.24%14.29%11.90%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Carlos Alcaraz (Thuis): 86.78%; Jaume Munar (Uit): 13.22%. Voor Jaume Munar (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 7.56. 11 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 8.40, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +11.05%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (55 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +11.05%E +1.32%K +1.49%G +0.165%4.5%2026-10-04 09:54
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.15%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.85%EV +7.22%E +0.890%K +1.02%G +0.073%4.1%2026-10-04 11:01
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.01%E -7.56%K -133.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.047%6.8%2026-10-04 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%4.6%2026-10-04 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.88%E -8.46%K -177.63%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +3.12%E +0.400%K +0.459%G +0.014%8.1%2026-10-04 09:05
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%4.6%2026-10-04 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.67%E -3.31%K -33.41%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.53%E +0.200%K +0.230%G +0.004%3.1%2026-10-04 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.609%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-04 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 10:31
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.845%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:09
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -3.75%E -0.516%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 09:45
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -6.13%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 13:09
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:00
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:49
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.41%E -4.96%K -60.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 09:50
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.42%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 14:05
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 10:30
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.28%E -5.81%K -78.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -15.39%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 09:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-04 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:08
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.54%E -4.13%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 13:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -23.32%E -4.02%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -28.61%E -5.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-04 09:55
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-10-04 13:35
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-10-04 12:45