Language:English
Carlos Alcaraz v Denis Shapovalov
Head to Head
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prediction 86.17%1.16fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -3.92%
Kelly -39.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.20%86.22%86.34%88.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1193.46%91.06%90.91%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visit)
Prediction 13.83%7.23fair odd
EV +13.41%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.250%
assuming max odds 8.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.64%13.78%13.66%16.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.786.758.2018.87%14.76%14.81%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 86.17%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 13.83%. For Denis Shapovalov (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.20, producing a positive expected value of +13.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.71%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +13.41%E +1.64%K +1.86%G +0.250% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.54%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +6.91%E +0.894%K +1.03%G +0.071% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.50%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV +6.49%E +0.843%K +0.969%G +0.063% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +5.25%E +0.690%K +0.794%G +0.042% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +5.25%E +0.690%K +0.794%G +0.042% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.73%E +0.497%K +0.573%G +0.021% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.423%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -1.81%E -0.254%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.19%E -0.456%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -3.88%E -0.558%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 13:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -4.30%E -0.621%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -6.65%E -0.985%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -8.72%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -8.72%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -8.72%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -11.49%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.25%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.25%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -14.25%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.50%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -14.25%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.40%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -15.64%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.02%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.02%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.71%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -21.17%E -3.71%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -26.70%E -5.04%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |