语言:简体中文
Carlos Alcaraz v Denis Shapovalov
胜负盘
Carlos Alcaraz (主队)
预测 86.25%1.16公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -3.84%
Kelly -38.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.11
博彩公司预测分布
83.20%86.30%86.25%88.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.101.101.1193.46%91.12%90.91%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
Denis Shapovalov (客队)
预测 13.75%7.27公平赔率
EV +12.76%
优势 +1.56%
Kelly +1.77%
增长率 +0.226%
假设最高赔率为 8.20
博彩公司预测分布
11.64%13.70%13.75%16.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.306.816.758.2018.87%14.69%14.81%12.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Carlos Alcaraz (主队)：86.25%；Denis Shapovalov (客队)：13.75%。 对于“Denis Shapovalov (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.27。 有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为8.20，由此产生+12.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +12.76%E +1.56%K +1.77%G +0.226% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.01%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.54%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +6.30%E +0.815%K +0.936%G +0.059% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV +5.89%E +0.764%K +0.879%G +0.052% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.14%E +0.418%K +0.482%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.990%E -0.137%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -2.36%E -0.333%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -4.84%E -0.699%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.11%E -0.741%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -16.12%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -21.62%E -3.79%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -27.12%E -5.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |