Langue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Denis Shapovalov
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 86.25%1.16cote équitable
EV -4.26%
Avantage -3.84%
Kelly -38.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.20%86.30%86.25%88.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.071.101.101.1193.46%91.12%90.91%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.75%7.27cote équitable
EV +12.76%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.226%
avec la cote maximale 8.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.64%13.70%13.75%16.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.306.816.758.2018.87%14.69%14.81%12.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Carlos Alcaraz (Local) : 86.25% ; Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur) : 13.75%. Pour Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.27. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 8.20, pour une espérance positive de +12.76%.
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +12.76%E +1.56%K +1.77%G +0.226% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.01%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.54%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +6.30%E +0.815%K +0.936%G +0.059% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV +5.89%E +0.764%K +0.879%G +0.052% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.14%E +0.418%K +0.482%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.990%E -0.137%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -2.36%E -0.333%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -4.84%E -0.699%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.11%E -0.741%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -16.12%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -21.62%E -3.79%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -27.12%E -5.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |