Idioma:Español
Carlos Alcaraz v Denis Shapovalov
Resultado del partido
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Predicción 86.25%1.16momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -3.84%
Kelly -38.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.20%86.30%86.25%88.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.101.101.1193.46%91.12%90.91%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 13.75%7.27momio equitativo
EV +12.76%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.226%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.64%13.70%13.75%16.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.306.816.758.2018.87%14.69%14.81%12.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 86.25%; Denis Shapovalov (Visitante): 13.75%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.27. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +12.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +12.76%E +1.56%K +1.77%G +0.226% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.01%E +1.25%K +1.43%G +0.143% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.54%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +6.30%E +0.815%K +0.936%G +0.059% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV +5.89%E +0.764%K +0.879%G +0.052% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +4.65%E +0.611%K +0.703%G +0.033% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.14%E +0.418%K +0.482%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -0.990%E -0.137%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -2.36%E -0.333%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.74%E -0.534%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -4.84%E -0.699%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.11%E -0.741%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.18%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.24%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.62%E -1.63%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.99%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -4.26%E -3.84%K -38.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.99%E -5.49%K -66.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -14.74%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -16.12%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.13%E -4.66%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.49%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -6.85%E -6.34%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -21.62%E -3.79%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.71%E -7.21%K -110.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -27.12%E -5.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |