A Escola das Odds

Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi

Início: 2026-05-08 19:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Previsão 38.33%2.61odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 61.67%1.62odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 19:39
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:40
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 19:44
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 19:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 19:09
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 19:34
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:24
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:34
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 19:35
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
ReBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:10
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 19:24
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 19:44
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:34
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:42
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-05-08 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-05-08 19:44
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-05-08 19:45
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-05-08 19:45