Język:Polski
Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 38.33%2.61kurs godziwy
EV +1.58%
Przewaga +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
Wzrost +0.015%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Luciano Darderi (Goście)
Prognoza 61.67%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze): 38.33%; Luciano Darderi (Goście): 61.67%. Dla wyniku Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.61. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.65, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.58%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:42 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |