Die Wettquotenschule

Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 19:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Heim)

Prognose 38.33%2.61faire Quote
EV +1.58%
Vorteil +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Luciano Darderi (Auswärts)

Prognose 61.67%1.62faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 19:39
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:40
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 19:44
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 19:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 19:09
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 19:34
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:24
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:34
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 19:35
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
ReBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:10
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 19:24
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 19:44
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:34
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:42
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 19:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-05-08 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-05-08 19:44
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-05-08 19:45
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-05-08 19:45