مدرسة الاحتمالات

Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-05-08 19:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.33%2.61السعر العادل
EV +1.58%
الأفضلية +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.67%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 19:39
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:40
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 19:44
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 19:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 19:09
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 19:34
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 19:24
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:09
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:34
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 19:35
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:09
ReBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:10
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 19:24
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 19:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 19:35
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 19:44
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:34
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 19:42
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 19:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-08 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-05-08 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-05-08 19:44
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-05-08 19:45
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-05-08 19:45