Langue:Français
Yannick Hanfmann v Luciano Darderi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prévision 38.33%2.61cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.598%
Kelly +0.960%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%38.42%38.45%40.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.502.6543.48%40.41%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.67%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%61.58%61.55%63.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.16%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yannick Hanfmann (Local) : 38.33% ; Luciano Darderi (Visiteur) : 61.67%. Pour Yannick Hanfmann (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.61. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +1.58%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.58%E +0.598%K +0.960%G +0.015% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.10%E -0.426%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.87%E -0.729%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.25%E -0.882%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.40%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.57%E -1.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.93%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.32%E -2.15%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.88%E -4.56%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.47%E -2.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.03%E -3.27%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.65%E -3.69%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.27%E -4.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.00%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 19:42 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.18%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.95%E -1.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 19:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 19:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 19:45 |